Golden Butterfly
Moderateby Tyler / Portfolio Charts
A twist on the Permanent Portfolio that tilts toward small-cap value stocks and long bonds, aiming for higher long-term returns while keeping drawdowns modest. Five equal 20% slices across uncorrelated assets.
MAX DRAWDOWN
-18%
historical worst
RECOVERY
13 mo
from max drawdown
AVG CRISIS RETURN
-9%
across 7 events
Holdings Allocation
5 assetsCrisis Performance History
7 historical scenariosReturns = weighted portfolio peak-to-trough drawdown during each crisis period based on constituent ETF data.
PORTFOLIO STRESS TEST
Customize this portfolio
Adjust the Golden Butterfly weights, add your own holdings, and stress test against 18+ crisis scenarios — including hypothetical tail-risk events like China-Taiwan invasion and SWIFT cyber attack.
Run Portfolio Stress Test →MORE MODERATE PORTFOLIOS
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Historical data is educational only. Not financial advice. Past crisis returns do not predict future performance.