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You're down. How far is the bottom?

Set your current portfolio drawdown and see how it compares to every major market crash in history. No sign-up required.

YOUR CURRENT DRAWDOWN

−20%

0%−15%−30%−45%−60%

CRISES REACHED THIS DEPTH

6 / 7

FASTEST RECOVERY

5mo

COVID 2020

SLOWEST RECOVERY

74mo

Dot-com 2000

Crises that reached −20% or deeper

Historical data for S&P 500 (price return, USD)

2008 Global Financial Crisis

Oct 2007 – Mar 2009

-57%

peak decline

Crisis start (0%)Mid-crisisBottom (-57%)

POTENTIAL FURTHER DROP

-37%

MONTHS TO BOTTOM (EST.)

~11mo

THEN TO FULL RECOVERY

+32mo

Financial system collapse. Housing crash. Lehman Brothers.

Dot-com Bust

2000–2002

-49%

peak decline

Crisis start (0%)Mid-crisisBottom (-49%)

POTENTIAL FURTHER DROP

-29%

MONTHS TO BOTTOM (EST.)

~18mo

THEN TO FULL RECOVERY

+44mo

Tech valuations collapsed. NASDAQ lost −78%.

Black Monday 1987

Aug – Dec 1987

-34%

peak decline

Crisis start (0%)Mid-crisisBottom (-34%)

POTENTIAL FURTHER DROP

-14%

MONTHS TO BOTTOM (EST.)

~1mo

THEN TO FULL RECOVERY

+17mo

Program trading cascade. −22% in a single day.

COVID-19 Crash

Feb 19 – Mar 23, 2020

-34%

peak decline

Crisis start (0%)Mid-crisisBottom (-34%)

POTENTIAL FURTHER DROP

-14%

MONTHS TO BOTTOM (EST.)

~0mo

THEN TO FULL RECOVERY

+4mo

Fastest bear market in history. Global economic halt.

Rate Hike Cycle 2022

Jan – Oct 2022

-25%

peak decline

Crisis start (0%)Late stageBottom (-25%)

POTENTIAL FURTHER DROP

-5%

MONTHS TO BOTTOM (EST.)

~2mo

THEN TO FULL RECOVERY

+9mo

Fed tightening. Tech multiples compressed. Bonds cratered too.

EU Debt Crisis 2011

Apr – Oct 2011

-22%

peak decline

Crisis start (0%)Near the bottomBottom (-22%)

POTENTIAL FURTHER DROP

-2%

MONTHS TO BOTTOM (EST.)

~1mo

THEN TO FULL RECOVERY

+14mo

Eurozone sovereign debt contagion. Greece, Italy, Spain.

CRISES THAT DIDN'T REACH THIS DEPTH

✓

Bond Massacre 1994

bottomed at -9%

You've already survived a drawdown deeper than these crises.

HISTORICAL CONTEXT

At −20%, you're in a recognized bear market.

6 out of 7 historical crises reached this depth. Median recovery time from the peak was 20 months. The fastest was COVID at 5 months — an anomaly driven by unprecedented fiscal stimulus. The slowest was the Dot-com bust at 74 months.

These figures are S&P 500 averages. Your individual portfolio may behave very differently depending on sector weights, bonds, and alternative assets.

YOUR SPECIFIC PORTFOLIO

The S&P 500 is an average. Your portfolio isn't.

A heavy tech allocation in 2000 lost −78%. Gold gained +25% in 2008. The right mix changes everything. Run a stress test on your exact holdings — free, 2 minutes.

Test My Portfolio →

Historical data is educational only. Not financial advice. Recovery times shown are S&P 500 price return (USD) and will vary by portfolio composition.